Jump to content

Parsley

Members
  • Posts

    9,347
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    33

Everything posted by Parsley

  1. Everyone can shit on the starting pitching issues but the offense really went AWOL large stretches the last 4-6 weeks of their season. Need to make the moves they DIDN'T make at the trade deadline in the offseason. 4-23 with runners in scoring position. Brutal.
  2. Only the Mets can have their own fans raging and league fans laughing at them after winning 100 games in a season.
  3. Hurricane Ian Discussion Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 1100 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter data was absolutely critical this morning in diagnosing the rapid intensification of Ian, despite both planes undergoing multiple eyewall penetrations experiencing severe turbulence. That data supported an intensity of about 135 kt a few hours ago. Since that time, high-resolution Tampa Doppler radar data has been sampling the eyewall near 10,000 ft with winds up to 155 kt, indicating that Ian is on the threshold of category 5 status. The maximum winds are set to 135 kt on this advisory. Ian is expected to make landfall in southwestern Florida in the next few hours as a catastrophic hurricane. No changes were made to the track forecast near Florida, except to be faster to come into line with the latest consensus aids. One important change is that Ian is likely to remain more intact as it crosses the Florida peninsula.
  4. I'll add, a large swath of central FL peninsula is FUCKED. Can't even imagine the aftermath from this. Glad you should miss the brunt of it up your way.
  5. Major streghtening overnight (approaching cat. 5 intensity). Not good. Heading for Cape Coral/Sarasota area for landfall it appears. Still looks like it then slowly crosses central Florida peninsula after landfall with a stripe of hurricane force winds heading toward Orlando and copious amounts of rain (in excess of 12") across much of central Florida. Tornado threat will continue near and south/east of storm track, especially across southern Florida peninsula. Across northern Florida there will be a sharp cut off in flooding rain and high wind somewhere near Gainesville with much higher likelyhood once east toward Jacksonville. A place like Tallahassee, FL may see little if any rain while a 100-150 miles east of there could see 10-20 inches with 60-80 mph winds.
  6. Orlando is going to see a ton of rain and wind with the current forecast track. Extended Power outages and extensive flooding will be the concern. I sure as hell would have cancelled any plans down there through the end of the week. I would think major, logjam delays will occur in the days ahead for air travel. Good luck to them getting home by the end of the week. Orlando gets hit hardest later Wednesday into Thursday. FYI.
  7. For you and your spot definitely looking better than 24 hours ago. I think the storm landfall is leaning south of Tampa. Maybe Fort Myers region? That's just my guess based on trends, still areas 100 miles north would see hurricane winds and 10+ inches of rain. For areas much further north (toward the panhandle) their is always a sharp cutoff in rain totals on the northwest side of a tropical cyclone so somewhere heading in that direction rain amounts will drop off drastically. Hopefully, for you stay that way or even trend a bit further south/east the next 24 hours.
  8. Further south where it's less populated and swampy toward Naples and especially Marco Island would be best at this point. I will say the nudges south on the models have continued today so maybe Tampa can be spared a direct hit, we'll see........
  9. Latest NHC discussion…. The hurricane should remain in a favorable environment for restrengthening over the next day or so while it moves over the warm waters of the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and in light-shear conditions. While the shear should increase by tomorrow, it isn't expected to be enough to significantly weaken the hurricane before landfall. Model guidance is in fairly good agreement on this scenario, and the NHC intensity forecast continues to call for an extremely dangerous hurricane landfall for southwestern Florida. The new forecast necessitates a Hurricane Watch for portions of extreme southwestern Florida, and a Tropical Storm Watch for the rest of southeastern Florida that wasn't previously under a watch. Users are reminded to not focus on the exact track as some additional adjustments to the track are possible. Significant wind, storm surge, and rainfall hazards will extend far from the center
  10. Really need to hope this thing peaks well before it approaches the FL coast.
  11. Hopefully for you things keep nudging south/east. That unfortunately puts people in central and south Florida under the gun.
  12. Hope may not be much help over the bulk of the peninsula if the average of these tracks occur.
  13. Yeah, a trade off potentially. Hurricane force winds vs highest potential rain totals which will likely be just north of landfall. If that eventual track was to keep nudging south then the panhandle and perhaps north Florida (up your way) could miss out on the highest rain totals. That’s your best hope.
  14. I'd say if we are splitting hairs, the anticipated track has shifted a smidge south-southeast for Ian into Florida, before looking like a landfall near or north of Tampa toward the panhandle coastline, to now near or just south of Tampa toward Fort Myers. Either way that takes copious amounts of rain and wind and carries it across much of the Florida peninsula as it then treks north over land.
  15. And we wake up to a beast over Cuba. Not good at all. Models continue to bring Ian north and eventually north-northeast into the peninsula of Florida somewhere near Tampa. Worst part continues to be the anticipated slow movement once it nears and traverses the peninsula. That would lead to major flooding and/or power outages across a large chunk of real estate of central and northern Florida and then perhaps Georgia and the Carolina’s. Really hard to see a “best case scenario” at this point.
  16. Good. Definitely a serious threat for much of the state at this point. If the models are accurate with intensity by midweek, it's gonna be bad for many.
  17. Ugh,,,,that's a rough spot as of now. If this thing crawls up the Gulf coast side of FL (regardless if it landfalls or stays just off the shore) I worry about immense rain totals across central and northern Florida. The "damaging" wind threat will be confined to a smaller swath but that could still end up impacting a chunk of central and/or north Florida. The Gulf coast beach will be flooded and battered as welll. Again, until this storm passes over Cuba I wouldn't put alot of weight on intensity forecasts at this point. You basically need to prepare for a major hurricane and hope somehow it underperforms as it approaches.
  18. @LindG1000What's your exact location?
  19. Yeah, gotta see how Ian looks and it's trajectory after it passes over western Cuba. Sure looks like a major threat for much of the state other than....perhaps extreme south Florida. The entire Gulf Coast of FL could get hit hard based on the current forecast track. Meanwhile, heavy rain and damaging high winds are a threat from Fort Myers on north on the Gulf coast and Fort Lauderdale on north on the east coast. Even extreme south Florida would be on the tornadic threat side of the storm as it passes to the west so no part of the peninsula looks safe at this point.
  20. Mets remind me of the NY Rangers, going to rely too heavily on one thing (pitching/goaltending) and it will be their downfall (offense) in the playoffs.
  21. 90 wins. Braves have been on fire since the allstar break. Braves (2-4 in their last 6) now play the Phillies (who are on a hot streak themselves) 7x in the next 2 weeks. Mets clearly have deficiencies but lets not go overboard. If the Mets go into October with a 100 wins you can't ask for more as a fan.
  22. Yeah. Plenty hot. But honestly I don’t like my coffee piping hot so I may not be the best to ask. Lol. This morning I brewed a 7.7 coffee oz. pod -ICE FORTE- (made for drinking over ice). Taste delicious. Straight over ice/black. Like you said the creama it produces takes the edge off just a bit. No need for milks or sugars. Reminds me of when I buy a NITRO Cold Brew at Starbucks for like $5.50.
  23. Sure is! I always grab a jug of what’s on sale when I shop. One of three: Califia Farms, La Colombe or STOK. I believe they had a 2 for $7 deal on Califia jugs within the last month out here. Right now I’m finding LaColombe jugs (42oz.) 2 for $8. Meanwhile one cold brew can (9oz) is like $3! I love grab and go cans but much cheaper just filling something from home with the large container. Sometime I can find a 4-pack of cans for $9.
×
×
  • Create New...