Depends how much of a decrease that is being talked about. It would hurt just like any FA that doesn't perform up to expectations. A PPG player at 12 mill/yr that dips down to a 60 point player is not really any worse than a 50 point 8 mill/yr player that dips down to 35 points. You're probably still better off with the former.
Pretty sure Hall is the one big name UFA next summer, if he's even available. Tavares and Panarin caliber FAs have generally been pretty rare, but who knows...maybe it is becoming a new norm for guys to turn down extensions for free agency.
No question he had a handful of clunkers, which is why I didn't say he was the sole reason or that he carried them every game. But so many of their wins consisted of him playing at a ridiculous level, especially the times they needed a win most. The clunkers make the average look less spectacular.
But whatever. If people want to act like every single player on every Cup winning roster is irreplaceable they can. I'll just agree to disagree.
It's so easy to talk up a team's pedestrian players like Steen and Barbashev after a Cup win. Steen with 55 hits is all of a sudden a hardnosed player. It's a fallacy. Half of their playoff wins were because Binnington stood on his head for those games, including Game 5 and 7 of the Cup.
I hear you, but they aren't people with normal jobs where cost of living can be the difference between affording to live there or not (i.e., rent or mortgage too high). They can buy homes with cash, and they can get it back if/when they sell it.
The tax free stuff is blown a bit out of proportion since it's only tax free on half the contract because only half the games are actually played at home in state. New York versus a no-income state will be a difference of about 4.5% of the total contract value. It's nothing to sneeze at and could be a differentiator if all else equal, but two things:
1) Often times a big market can make up this rather small difference in endorsements.
2) Athletes are humans and sometimes paying a small penalty to live somewhere more desirable to them is absolutely worth it. Quality of life has a price. I'd like to think that in general, living in NYC and playing in MSG is favorable to many athletes.
The timeline still fits. Knight is likely 3-4 years away. If Bobrovsky signs for 7, the load on the last 3ish years of that contract is eased as Knight gets more time. It might eventually be a bad contract to have on their books, but I'm not sure they care about that right now as much as they care about being competitive after hiring Quenneville.
Quennville. Bob and Panarin I think both are visiting Florida. I'm just speculating, but there's also a couple of good Russian players on the team and they can afford to sign both.