BrooksBurner

This is the concern with Rempe. He can’t play his game anymore. Pushed into the goalie and he gets the call, it’s ridiculous

Shove that 86% pk up your mothers 5 hole carolina

Should be two penalties. A trip and an elbow

19 minutes ago, JJ in VA said:

Holy Cow BB.  Lighten up Francis.   You sound like the pivot man in a circle jerk.   

I don’t know what that would sound like, but apparently you do

1 hour ago, jsm7302 said:

Panarin goal in first 2 minutes.

Play the lotto if this happens

Just now, Sharpshooter said:

He and McDonough are one of the worst duos of hockey announcers I have ever heard.

I've seen McDonough's name included in this so many times, but I've never really had a problem. Anything specific? Clue me in lol

5 minutes ago, Keirik said:

Ferraro just ruins everything. I wish he would just stfu 

The absolute worst.

Let the moment breathe dickhead

Unbelievable set play w/ Pastrnak

It's going to be funny when LTIR Vegas takes out a lot of people's favorite pick to go to the Cup...

7 minutes ago, phillyb said:

Christ i fucking love game 7s. 

Except if the Rangers are in them. Heart attack city

That right side defensively is a hole for the Canes IMO. Attack that side.

That's Panarin's side. He needs to show up and not be a little bitch this year

18 minutes ago, RodrigueGabriel said:

I think you and Dom and all the other people who want to reduce human desire and competition to an equation are grasping for control of something that is not predictable or quantifiable. A Playoff series like this is more like a prize fight than coming up with the magic determinative sum of analytic parts.

 

These teams are super close and this series won't be about number of zone entries or shot share or whatever analytic fuck-all. It's going to be about which group of men want it more, about who can take a punch and get back up, who can dig out that last ounce of energy when both teams are exhausted in a 2nd or 3rd overtime. Talent, skill, strategy, technique, and past performance will all be in play, but the outcome will be determined by the ability to seize the moment, endurance, resilience, heart.

 

Look at Boston, who looked up mid-series having completely lost their game. None of the regular season analytics would tell you shit about why that would happen, because it didn't happen until the heat and pressure conditions of a Playoff series. 

 

Seems like all of the forecasts revolve on pretty small differences. I'm tired of reading them. Let the fight begin. 

 

 

I don't want to do that at all. Analytics are not to be used by themselves, but they are one of the better indicators for having success. The only reason you and others want to pretend that analytics don't mean anything at all is because they don't tell you what you want to hear.

28 minutes ago, Red White and Brew said:

Some people will always want to act tough behind a screen. 
 

Gone are the days when people bring facts to arguments and instead just try and belittle others. 

Yeah you gotta watch out for the mouth breathers.

Welcome to the board

The year….uncanny

3 minutes ago, CanesFanRandy said:

Have changed my line of thinking here. Canes handle this series pretty easily dealing the Rangers a pretty big setback. You are still a couple years away. This is our year! Canes in 6

You by game 3 when the Canes just can’t score on Igor again

1 hour ago, Br4d said:

 

I believe the media perception of the matchup is extremely flawed.

 

It does not give the Rangers any credit for the changes in the team over the last few months and frankly the Hurricanes are little bitches and likely to hate the Rempinator anyway.

 

My perception of the matchup is that it rides on the Bread Line and I think those guys are going to come out shooting this round.

 

Just adding: if these were the Rangers playing Wheeler, Bonino and Pitlick the perception would be accurate.  Those guys aren't around any more and the guys who replaced them matchup much better against the 'Canes speed and hustle.

I don’t really agree. Even with a slightly better outlook 5v5 since the deadline, the Rangers are still completely outclassed analytically here. Models that favor 5v5 as much as Dom’s does are going to reflect that.

2 minutes ago, SaveByRichter35 said:

Let's also remember, Guentzel doesn't have Crosby next to him like he did all those other times he killed the Rangers.  

I was thinking this too, and especially at the deadline I questioned what his impact would be away from Crosby. 25 points in 17 games for the Canes has probably disspelled any notion he was just riding coattails. Unfortunately he has fit the Canes like a glove and gotta respect what he’s done for them.

The Guentzel-Aho line is excellent, and I think the Rangers should be hoping to get the KZ line out there for them as much as possible. They are really good at playing even or a little better, and canceling out the Canes’ top line should be a top priority. KZ line is also plenty talented enough to make them pay if they are overaggressive and make a mistake. I think the Panarin or Goodrow lines would be a death sentence matchup wise, probably resulting in the puck being in their own end for full shifts. Cuylle-Wennberg-Kakko would probably find a way to hang on. That’d be a major win if that line could play a contain/shutdown role against their top line. The Canes will probably counter with the Staal line against Panarin. That’s probably going to roughly cancel out. Home ice / last change is a nice advantage to have. The Panarin line will need to get some favorable matchups.

https://theathletic.com/5467049/2024/05/03/2024-nhl-playoff-preview-new-york-rangers-vs-carolina-hurricanes

Dom’s model has it at 66-34 odds in favor of the Canes. That’s the biggest gap I’ve seen. I don’t think that’s crediting the goalie difference enough

9 hours ago, RichieNextel305 said:

VGK-DAL Game 7 Sunday. BOS-TOR Game 7 tomorrow. Can we finally get this fucking schedule already? Good God. The series starts tomorrow and we don’t even know when 6 of the games will be played. This is insane.

I don’t really understand why game 2 hasn’t been scheduled yet. The Knicks have the garden Monday and Wednesday. It obviously has to be Tuesday and whatever is currently scheduled that night is getting punted

1 hour ago, Pete said:

We can also recognize that You keep saying "we" Even though you're a hurricanes fan. 

 

But fuck the hurricanes. 

 

How do you like them apples?

That was that person's first post. You're such a miserable person lmao

2 hours ago, Red White and Brew said:

We can also recognize that Carolina plays a very aggressive forecheck that could give the Rangers trouble. It’s well known the Rangers are not a dominant 5v5 team and the Hurricanes are the one team that can go toe to toe with them on Special Teams. 

Some will point to the Rangers sweeping the regular season. Well that was true two years ago against the Lightning too and we lost in 6 after leading 2-0 in the series. 
 

The Hurricanes also acquired Guentzel at the deadline, who has lit up the Rangers throughout his career and could be the scoring threat they need to take the next step. 

 

Will give the Rangers the tie breaker based on the way Igor is playing of late and the relative health. Have to win at least 1 of the first 2. Win both and we probably win in 5. Want Panarin to keep shooting.

 

Whoever wins the series (and Eastern Conference) will certainly have earned it 

Sounds like a fair assessment

Great win last night. Excellent series

Up next, Indiana, good team but I like the Knicks' chances quite a lot

55 minutes ago, NEKRanger said:

The predictive value of various statistics are based on the law of large numbers.  Over 1312 games in a season, the teams with better %GF 5v5 (or whatever) will have a better than 0.5 probability of winning.  This doesn't necessarily distill down to picking who will win 4 games in a 7 game series unless the difference is really large.   

It seems that matchups - find if a team's biggest strength matches an opponent's glairing weakness - or team character will matter more at this stage.

Great post.

I would probably say the odds are in the 60/40 range in favor of the Canes because of the 5v5 advantage. That’s far from a lock. Both teams have a good chance to win. The Canes’ chance is just a little higher. Just have to follow the money. There’s a reason the Rangers are the betting underdogs in this series.

8 minutes ago, RangersIn7 said:

 

 

 

The only thing that will fix this is for the two of you to just take a long weekend up to Brokeback Mountain and see what happens. 

 

You’ve clearly got it for each other, which is totally fine.

Love you both regardless.

 

But seriously… go do stuff in the forest together. Cause the rest of us can’t listen to this anymore.

Entertaining as it is… cause it is. But this affection you have for one another shouldn’t be denied. 
 

Embrace it fellas!

 

 

 

And see what happens? I know what will happen. He’ll try to give me the aids he got from another board member whose username rhymes with Albatross, and I’ll decline

You sound pretty jelly…“no cap” as the kids say these days

12 minutes ago, Pete said:

You don't make the stats, but you create a narrative based on which you think are meaningful for the narrative, while simultaneously ignoring a ton of other metrics. Hence not seeing the forest for the trees.

You keep repeating this, and I keep repeating why it's different, and you keep ignoring it and pretending it doesn't mean anything. I know why you do, and it's funny.

 

What you also ignore is that by the time the playoffs started in each of the last 2 years, I've said the same thing I've said this year: Once your in it's a race to 16 wins and it doesn't matter how you get there.

 

You think it's too simple, yet that's what it is. It doesn't need to be complex.

I don’t create the narrative either. The linkage between 5v5 analytics and Cup winners is not something I conjured up myself. Hate the game, not the player.

Yeah, you keep repeating things that aren’t accurate or don’t actually refute anything, and you know that. Instead of recognizing the strong linkage between 5v5 analytics and Cup winners, you try to galaxy brain it why it’s totally different for this team. I don’t agree and your counter argument is flimsy. Deal with it!