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Everything posted by fletch
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PowerRankings 2023-24 Interactive Power Rankings
fletch replied to BrooksBurner's topic in New York Rangers
1. Artemi Panarin 2. Adam Fox 3. Vincent Trocheck 4. Alexis Lafrenière 5. Igor Shesterkin 6. Jonathan Quick +2 7. Mika Zibanejad 8. Chris Kreider 9. Ryan Lindgren 10. Jacob Trouba 11. K'Andre Miller 12. Braden Schneider 13. Kaapo Kakko 14. Jimmy Vesey 15. Zac Jones 16. Will Cuylle 17. Matt Rempe 18. Jack Roslovic 19. Erik Gustafsson 20. Barclay Goodrow 21. Alexander Wennberg 22. Jonny Brodzinski 23. Chad Quick was solid and one of the few Rangers who showed up against the Flyers. Not a lot of skaters that are gunning for a promotion based on what they've done against Isles and Flyers. -
So Why Are We Winning? Same Channel, Different Season?
fletch replied to Valriera's topic in New York Rangers
People use regular season stats because it's the most recent data they have available. I'm not sure how informative it would be to look at playoff stats because of the small sample size - you'd have to cobble together the last 2 or 3 seasons of playoff statistics and add the caveat that team composition changed over that period - and those disclaimers are large enough that people would be pretty skeptical of that kind of analysis. It's probably more about matchup/luck/who's hot than analysts would like... but analysts don't want to write that no one really knows. Rangers playoff fate may simply be if their first two rounds consist more like: Scenario A Round 1- WC2 or Metro 3 (against one of the morass of mediocre teams) Round 2 (another one of the morass of mediocre teams that upsets Carolina) Scenario B Round 1-WC1 (Tampa or Toronto) Round 2-Carolina In either scenario, Rangers could advance to at least ECF, or get bounced in round 1. But I'd like our chances to get to at least ECF in Scenario A rather than Scenario B. -
So Why Are We Winning? Same Channel, Different Season?
fletch replied to Valriera's topic in New York Rangers
Most of your points are valid, just Boston isn't in the Metro. Carolina is the only good team in the Metro other than the Rangers... so good on the Rangers for taking advantage of the weak division. Agreed that the Canucks are fortunate in the Pacific. The Atlantic is solid with Boston, Florida, Toronto, and Tampa, and the Central isn't far behind with Dallas, Colorado and Winnipeg. When reading articles on the Rangers - authors tend to cover their ass. The Rangers could win the Cup... or lose in the first round. True, and the same for every team. Regular season prepares teams for the playoffs, but largely all 16 playoff teams are starting a new season when staring at their first round playoff opponent. There's a big difference between a 7 game series and the regular season when you're (mostly) seeing a different opponent every couple days and just trying to play solid hockey to rack up points. -
So Why Are We Winning? Same Channel, Different Season?
fletch replied to Valriera's topic in New York Rangers
https://www.espn.com/nhl/story/_/id/39902929/nhl-new-york-rangers-playoffs-2024-stanley-cup-analytics-data What Rangers' stats say about their potential in playoffs '...The Rangers are a confounding team, and not just because they exited the postseason after one round in 2023. On the surface, they've been dominant in the standings and solid on both sides of the puck: Through 78 games, they were sixth in goals and seventh in goals against per game. But look under the hood and one finds a team whose 5-on-5 analytics are utterly pedestrian and in some cases below average.' "The New York Rangers are a bit of an anomaly," said Meghan Chayka, co-founder of Stathletes. '...As extraordinary as their special teams are, the Rangers' 5-on-5 play is a bit more concerning, analytically. "The Rangers have a very ordinary record this season of 5v5 chance generation," McCurdy said.' '...Through 78 games, no team has had won more one-goal games than the Rangers (22), and no team has had a better winning percentage in those games than their 22-4-4 record. Chayka noted that the Rangers have some shared DNA in that regard with last season's Presidents' Trophy winners, the Boston Bruins, who led the NHL in winning percentage in one-goal games and when trailing first."Their playoff fate might indicate something for the Rangers," she said, ominously, referencing the Bruins' shocking first-round loss last year.' '...The Rangers also have feasted on the Metro Division this season.' '...There's another key group that has Fraser a little more concerned: The defensive pairing of Adam Fox and Ryan Lindgren, long one of the NHL's most effective duos. "What happened to them? The on-ice goal numbers are terrific, as usual, but that team is uncharacteristically getting out-chanced by a huge margin," he said. "Can Lindgren get back on track?"' '...Kelly was a little concerned about the Rangers being a top-heavy team. Their top six scorers are all over 50 points on the season; no one else has had more than 30 points through 78 games.' '...Stathletes gives the Blueshirts a 4.8% chance of winning the Cup, which is 11th-best among current playoff teams. Kelly said the Rangers would be in his second tier as a Stanley Cup contender. "I don't think they have fatal flaws, but it is a slippery slope when you rely so heavily on special teams and goaltending," he said. "But that doesn't mean you can't get to a Cup Final or even win the Cup."' -
@Keirik Yup, we play for third place and have over a week to contemplate what could have been.
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Nice run @Phil Up against the regular season champ @Morphinity 2.0 Congratulations to you both. Whether @Keirik or I get the dreaded fourth place from 2 straight playoff losses.
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Playoffs — Who Do You Want/Don't You Want?
fletch replied to Kick save and a beauty's topic in New York Rangers
I'm looking at the standings as a four team race New York Rangers 108 pts, 77 GP Boston Bruins 105 pts, 77 GP Carolina Hurricanes 103 pts, 77 GP Florida Panthers 101 pts, 77 GP The winner of the 4 team race gets WC2 and home ice for as long as they can survive in the playoffs. With the Rangers position in the standings and remaining schedule, it would be a huge disappointment to not get WC2. Schedule remaining: New York Rangers Sun, Apr 7 vs Montreal 6:00 PM Tue, Apr 9 @ Islanders 6:00 PM Thu, Apr 11 vs Philadelphia 6:00 PM Sat, Apr 13 vs Islanders 11:30 AM Mon, Apr 15 vs Ottawa 6:30 PM Boston Bruins Sat, Apr 6 vs Florida 2:30 PM Tue, Apr 9 vs Carolina 6:00 PM Sat, Apr 13 @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM Mon, Apr 15 @ Washington 6:00 PM Tue, Apr 16 vs Ottawa 6:00 PM Carolina Hurricanes Sun, Apr 7 vs Columbus 4:00 PM Tue, Apr 9 @ Boston 6:00 PM Fri, Apr 12 @ St. Louis 7:00 PM Sun, Apr 14 @ Chicago 5:00 PM Tue, Apr 16 @Columbus 6:00 PM Florida Panthers Sat, Apr 6 @Boston 2:30 PM Tue, Apr 9 vs Ottawa 6:00 PM Thu, Apr 11 vs Columbus 6:00 PM Sat, Apr 13 vs Buffalo 4:00 PM Tue, Apr 16 vs Toronto 6:30 PM -
PowerRankings 2023-24 Interactive Power Rankings
fletch replied to BrooksBurner's topic in New York Rangers
1. Artemi Panarin 2. Adam Fox 3. Vincent Trocheck 4. Alexis Lafrenière 5. Igor Shesterkin 6. Mika Zibanejad 7. Chris Kreider 8. Jonathan Quick 9. Ryan Lindgren 10. Jacob Trouba 11. K'Andre Miller 12. Braden Schneider 13. Kaapo Kakko 14. Jimmy Vesey +1 15. Zac Jones 16. Will Cuylle 17. Matt Rempe 18. Jack Roslovic 19. Erik Gustafsson 20. Barclay Goodrow +1 21. Alexander Wennberg 22. Jonny Brodzinski 23. Chad No way to promote everyone on the bottom two forward lines from their game against the Red Wings, so I selected 2 of the most impactful forwards. -
Down 4-1 after two periods, the Coyotes had the Knights exactly where they wanted them. Dropped 6 goals on them in the third to win 7-4. Yeah the Coyotes would rather be in the playoffs, but credit to them for continuing to bring it down the stretch.