Yeah, they pretty much hover around 10% throughout the second round, go down to 6% by the end of the 3rd round, and then 4% in round 4.
The nice thing about the draft is that teams can sign the players cheaply, if they do land a good one.
Just for giggles, here are the first round picks for the Rangers since they started trading off starters, and their probabilities of being top 6/4/1. . The sum is 3.3, meaning that if the Rangers had drafted like an average team, they would get three starters (top two offensive lines or top two defensive pairs) out of this group.
7
Anderson
0.48
21
Chytil
0.20
9
Kravtsov
0.44
22
Miller
0.20
2
Kakko
0.88
1
Lafreneire
0.84
19
Schneider
0.28
SUM
3.32