https://theathletic.com/5471828/2024/05/05/rangers-hurricanes-nhl-playoffs-predictions-odds?source=user-shared-article
Some great points made there, especially the first quote.
Lots of "experts" pointing at how much "better" the Canes are at 5v5, despite naturalstattrick having Carolina at 30 more expected goals than the Rangers, they actually only scored three more at 5v5.
Carolina generates a lot at 5v5, but they don't cash at the same rate the Rangers do. The Rangers score at a much more efficient clip, they don't need as many chances to score as Carolina does. So this will be another series where xGF% isn't going to be very relevant.