We all love Valley, but I’m sorry I find this incredibly unlikely to be accurate based on what I’ve seen to this point.
CSA ES
11.21 to 5.27 xGF in favor of Canes
23 to 12 HDCF, Canes
NST ES
8.45 to 6.97 xGF, Canes
33-30 HDCF, Canes
Valley went on and blasted ESPN and all of the non-ESPN statistical analysts who contributed to the article with their data models, and they all said the same thing that the Rangers were average to below average at 5v5 expected goals while Valley said the Rangers were 9th at CSA.
Now NST is saying it’s pretty damn close, which is what I’ve seen watching these games, and CSA is saying the Rangers are getting walked on the ice and this is basically just Shesterkin stealing games.
Again, love Valley but I have serious doubts about the accuracy of CSA at this juncture.