Professor MJ
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Posts posted by Professor MJ
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Nice work on the Kings. Picked them up at 3.00
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Very nice hit on the Kings!!
Overall, a profit of 1.15 unit last night:
- Panthers = +0.70
- Devils = -1
- Ducks = -1
- Kings = +2.45
- Panthers = +0.70
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Post new threads, Professor. :thumbs:
Sorry about that, will do. A daily thread would be fine, right?
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Any tips for tonight?s slate?
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Today's picks (Thursday January 9th) based on my 10 NHL betting systems:
- 4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
- 2 STARS = Panthers (@ -143 or 1.70 odds, vs Canucks)
- 2 STARS = Devils (@ +150 or 2.50 odds, at Rangers)
- 1 STAR = Ducks (@ +122 or 2.22 odds, vs Stars)
"The Scoring Drought" betting system is backing two teams today: the Kings and the Devils. Here are the details of this strategy:
"Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."
This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%). :happy:
For example, the L.A. Kings lost their past two games by 2-1 and 4-2 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight.
Cheers!
Professor MJ
- 4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
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Any tips for tonight?s slate?
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Yesterday the system picks were all 3 underdogs: the Jets, Flyers and Kings (again, posted a video presenting them yesterday, sorry I didn't see your post, I didn't know people here would be interested).
2-1 record for a 1.82 unit profit (+1.67 on the Jets, +1.15 on the Flyers and -1 on the Kings). :thumbs:
Today's picks (Thursday January 9th) based on my 10 NHL betting systems:
- 4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
- 2 STARS = Panthers (@ -143 or 1.70 odds, vs Canucks)
- 2 STARS = Devils (@ +150 or 2.50 odds, at Rangers)
- 1 STAR = Ducks (@ +122 or 2.22 odds, vs Stars)
"The Scoring Drought" betting system is backing two teams today: the Kings and the Devils. Here are the details of this strategy:
"Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."
This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%).
For example, the Devils lost their past two games by 4-3 and 5-2 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight. Sorry Rangers fans! ;)
Cheers! :cheers:
Professor MJ
- 4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
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nice call. keep it up.
so ur 1-0?
Through January 6th games, my NHL system plays have yielded a profit of 17.83 units via 323 bets this season (ROI = +5.5%).
All documented on my website, and daily YouTube videos.
In case you're wondering what "units" mean, I pretend to bet 1 unit on each play. If your average bet is $100, you would have earned $100 * 17.83 units = $1,783 from tailing all of those picks.
Notice that my judgment and opinion have no implication whatsoever. I simply follow the strict criteria for betting of my 10 betting systems (that are based on a statistical study using 9 full seasons).
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I put 25K on the game tonight thanks Prof!
You are very welcome my friend!! Nice upset win by the Rangers!
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Welcome to the group!
Thanks buddy, I appreciate!
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So you're not dissuaded at all by the fact the Rangers are starting a goalie for his first NHL game?
No, not at all. That information is already incorporated in the money line you are getting. Everyone has that information.
This morning at 7 am Eastern Time the odds were +140 in American format (i.e. 2.40 in decimal format) when I placed my bet. It has gone down since then, so you may not get as good a line right now though.
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That's some deep shit! Fuck it. I'm convinced. The bet is on. If I lose I recommend a temporary ban on professor mj.
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LOL, I know you were just kidding, but I just want to remind everyone they should avoid drawing conclusions based on small sample sizes. Whether the play wins or not tonight is not a big deal in the whole picture.
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Hello all! I'm new to this board and am looking forward to meeting you guys! :cheers:
I'm a statistics university professor from Canada. I love combining my passion of hockey with sports betting.
I ran statistical analyses using data on 9 NHL seasons and came up with 10 different winning betting systems.
Based on one of those betting strategies, the New York Rangers have a decent chance to pull off the upset over the Colorado Avalanche tonight.
Obviously, that's not a guarantee! But according to the numbers, it represents good value.
This prediction is based on a winning betting system that I call "The Cold Teams Matchup".
Here is how it goes:
"Bet a home team coming off AT LEAST 3 straight losses when facing a road team coming off 1 or 2 straight loss(es). Bet only if the home team is an underdog."
In this case, the Rangers have lost their past three matchups, while the Avs have lost 1 in a row. Since New York is indeed a home underdog, past data recommends betting them tonight.
If you had used this strategy over a nine-year span, you would have ended up placing 141 bets. If you had wagered $100 each time, your total net profit would have been +$4,495.
That's a return on investment of more than 30% (4495 / 141 = 31.9%).
Placing just 141 bets over 9 years means about 15-20 plays per season only. In other words, this betting angle does not happen often, but it's the case tonight with the Rangers.
Enjoy the game folks! :thumbs:
Professor MJ
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NHL System Pick by Stats University Professor - January 10, 2020
in Fantasy Sports & Betting
Posted
Big reward last night with the top pick, the L.A. Kings, pulling the HUGE upset in Vegas! :pbjtime:
Today's lone pick based on my 10 NHL betting systems:
The pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting system, which I explained in details in yesterday's post.
Have a great weekend, hockey fans!!! :cheers:
Professor MJ