Athletic's model has it as 66% Canes, 34% us. I know they're the analytics darlings of the league, I know they added Guentzel, I know they got a chip on their shoulder and something to prove, but like....really? We won the President's Trophy. We won the regular season series against them. The goaltending matchup, on paper at least, is heavily lopsided.
Many people are picking this to go to 7 games. That would scream 51% to 49% to me, if anything.
Edit: also, not for nothing, but weren't they heavy favorites in 2022 as well before they got #Igor'd?