BrooksBurner

Great post. I would probably say the odds are in the 60/40 range in favor of the Canes because of the 5v5 advantage. That’s far from a lock. Both teams have a good chance to win. The Canes’ chance is just a little higher. Just have to follow the money. There’s a reason the Rangers are the betting underdogs in this series.

And see what happens? I know what will happen. He’ll try to give me the aids he got from another board member whose username rhymes with Albatross, and I’ll decline You sound pretty jelly…“no cap” as the kids say these days

I don’t create the narrative either. The linkage between 5v5 analytics and Cup winners is not something I conjured up myself. Hate the game, not the player. Yeah, you keep repeating things that aren’t accurate or don’t actually refute anything, and you know that. Instead of recognizing the strong linkage between 5v5 analytics and Cup winners, you try to galaxy brain it why it’s totally different for this team. I don’t agree and your counter argument is flimsy. Deal with it!

It’s not my view. I don’t make the stats. The last two years you observed and recognized the same stats. This year you ignore them and pretend they don’t mean anything. I know why you do, and it’s funny.

Yes, there’s a lot of truth here. That’s why you have to also look at scoring chance quality, high danger in particular. The Canes are much better there and around the top of the league too, both for and against. The Rangers are not. These things are the best indicators that exist of what a team needs to be good in to win a Cup. It’s the best differentiator that exists for separating contenders from pretenders. It’s pretty tough for a contender to beat multiple other contenders in the NHL grind. It’s even tougher as a pretender, and the Rangers profile as a pretender.

This doesn’t make sense either lol 0 fer 2

So what? Lavi should be worried about best matchups, not questions from the press if they lose. Are Rempe’s 6 min a game against Washington why they won all 4 games?

3-1-1 against playoff teams not named the Islanders. 0 games for reference against the Canes. 13 of those wins were against non playoff teams. The fact Rempe is super fun to watch against the Devils of the world doesn’t mean he’s the reason for the wins in that stretch. There should be legitimate concern he’s not a good enough skater against the Canes, and that Lavi didn’t trust him in the 3rd periods against a bad team like the Caps will leave the bench short. Especially if we start getting into OT games. Part of that isn’t Rempe’s fault. I think Lavi is scared the refs have targeted him and doesn’t want penalties at critical times.

Have to see if Rempe even plays…this is kind of an anti-Rempe matchup here.

It says hello to your wife

Deleted?

That was a sickening loss

Just running down the list: Special Teams: Even (2 years ago: Rangers, modest edge) Depth: Even (2 years ago: Canes, big edge) Faceoffs: Even (2 years ago: Canes, big edge) Physicality: Even (2 years ago: Canes, modest edge) 5v5: Canes, big edge (unchanged) Goaltending: Rangers, big edge (unchanged) Scoring Talent: Rangers, slight edge (2 years ago: Rangers, big edge) Coaching: Even (2 years ago: Canes, slight edge) I think the Rangers completely closed the gaps on depth/faceoffs/physicality/coaching, and the Canes closed the gap on special teams and narrowed the gap on scoring talent w/ the Guentzel add and progression of Jarvis/Necas. The Rangers were sizable underdogs two years ago and Igor stole it. This time around is a closer matchup in every department except two, and those two haven't changed at all from 2 years ago: 5v5 and goaltending. We talk all of the time about how the Rangers shouldn't pay Shesterkin his next contract because it's not how you build a Cup winner, and that teams should spend the money on the rest of the team because if the team is playing the right way at 5v5, then the goalie matters less. The reason for that is that, more often than not, great 5v5 play matters more than paying a great goalie. The Canes have that edge. They will have the puck in the Rangers' end of the ice more in this series. They will generate more chances, and they have a more cohesive forecheck. This is all pretty guaranteed to happen. This is why the betting odds will favor the Canes, and it should, but it's not a lock. The Rangers will need Shesterkin to be the difference again, and he's capable.

Head says Canes in 6, maybe 5. Heart and hope says Rangers in 6, maybe 7.