BrooksBurner

You by game 3 when the Canes just can’t score on Igor again

I don’t really agree. Even with a slightly better outlook 5v5 since the deadline, the Rangers are still completely outclassed analytically here. Models that favor 5v5 as much as Dom’s does are going to reflect that.

I was thinking this too, and especially at the deadline I questioned what his impact would be away from Crosby. 25 points in 17 games for the Canes has probably disspelled any notion he was just riding coattails. Unfortunately he has fit the Canes like a glove and gotta respect what he’s done for them. The Guentzel-Aho line is excellent, and I think the Rangers should be hoping to get the KZ line out there for them as much as possible. They are really good at playing even or a little better, and canceling out the Canes’ top line should be a top priority. KZ line is also plenty talented enough to make them pay if they are overaggressive and make a mistake. I think the Panarin or Goodrow lines would be a death sentence matchup wise, probably resulting in the puck being in their own end for full shifts. Cuylle-Wennberg-Kakko would probably find a way to hang on. That’d be a major win if that line could play a contain/shutdown role against their top line. The Canes will probably counter with the Staal line against Panarin. That’s probably going to roughly cancel out. Home ice / last change is a nice advantage to have. The Panarin line will need to get some favorable matchups.

https://theathletic.com/5467049/2024/05/03/2024-nhl-playoff-preview-new-york-rangers-vs-carolina-hurricanes Dom’s model has it at 66-34 odds in favor of the Canes. That’s the biggest gap I’ve seen. I don’t think that’s crediting the goalie difference enough

I don’t really understand why game 2 hasn’t been scheduled yet. The Knicks have the garden Monday and Wednesday. It obviously has to be Tuesday and whatever is currently scheduled that night is getting punted

That was that person's first post. You're such a miserable person lmao

Sounds like a fair assessment

Great win last night. Excellent series Up next, Indiana, good team but I like the Knicks' chances quite a lot

Great post. I would probably say the odds are in the 60/40 range in favor of the Canes because of the 5v5 advantage. That’s far from a lock. Both teams have a good chance to win. The Canes’ chance is just a little higher. Just have to follow the money. There’s a reason the Rangers are the betting underdogs in this series.

And see what happens? I know what will happen. He’ll try to give me the aids he got from another board member whose username rhymes with Albatross, and I’ll decline You sound pretty jelly…“no cap” as the kids say these days

I don’t create the narrative either. The linkage between 5v5 analytics and Cup winners is not something I conjured up myself. Hate the game, not the player. Yeah, you keep repeating things that aren’t accurate or don’t actually refute anything, and you know that. Instead of recognizing the strong linkage between 5v5 analytics and Cup winners, you try to galaxy brain it why it’s totally different for this team. I don’t agree and your counter argument is flimsy. Deal with it!

It’s not my view. I don’t make the stats. The last two years you observed and recognized the same stats. This year you ignore them and pretend they don’t mean anything. I know why you do, and it’s funny.

Yes, there’s a lot of truth here. That’s why you have to also look at scoring chance quality, high danger in particular. The Canes are much better there and around the top of the league too, both for and against. The Rangers are not. These things are the best indicators that exist of what a team needs to be good in to win a Cup. It’s the best differentiator that exists for separating contenders from pretenders. It’s pretty tough for a contender to beat multiple other contenders in the NHL grind. It’s even tougher as a pretender, and the Rangers profile as a pretender.

This doesn’t make sense either lol 0 fer 2