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Professor MJ
01-07-2020, 10:59 AM
Hello all! I'm new to this board and am looking forward to meeting you guys! :cheers:

I'm a statistics university professor from Canada. I love combining my passion of hockey with sports betting.

I ran statistical analyses using data on 9 NHL seasons and came up with 10 different winning betting systems.

Based on one of those betting strategies, the New York Rangers have a decent chance to pull off the upset over the Colorado Avalanche tonight.

Obviously, that's not a guarantee! But according to the numbers, it represents good value.

This prediction is based on a winning betting system that I call "The Cold Teams Matchup".

Here is how it goes:

"Bet a home team coming off AT LEAST 3 straight losses when facing a road team coming off 1 or 2 straight loss(es). Bet only if the home team is an underdog."

In this case, the Rangers have lost their past three matchups, while the Avs have lost 1 in a row. Since New York is indeed a home underdog, past data recommends betting them tonight.

If you had used this strategy over a nine-year span, you would have ended up placing 141 bets. If you had wagered $100 each time, your total net profit would have been +$4,495.

That's a return on investment of more than 30% (4495 / 141 = 31.9%).

Placing just 141 bets over 9 years means about 15-20 plays per season only. In other words, this betting angle does not happen often, but it's the case tonight with the Rangers.

Enjoy the game folks! :thumbs:

Professor MJ

Vodka Drunkenski
01-07-2020, 11:13 AM
Yaysayer!

Blue Heaven
01-07-2020, 11:21 AM
Interesting 1st post, with that said, if I was in NJ I'd still bet my $$$ on the Avs. :)

Kevin
01-07-2020, 11:21 AM
That's some deep shit! Fuck it. I'm convinced. The bet is on. If I lose I recommend a temporary ban on professor mj.

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Slobberknocker
01-07-2020, 11:24 AM
That's some deep shit! Fuck it. I'm convinced. The bet is on. If I lose I recommend a temporary ban on professor mj.

Sent from my SM-G950U using Blueshirts Brotherhood mobile app powered by Tapatalk (http://r.tapatalk.com/byo?rid=92212)

or at least his first infraction :rofl:

welcome aboard prof.

can u run a model on what pct the Giants will get the next coaching hire right.

Morphinity
01-07-2020, 11:24 AM
So you're not dissuaded at all by the fact the Rangers are starting a goalie for his first NHL game?

Keirik
01-07-2020, 11:25 AM
Welcome to the group!

Vodka Drunkenski
01-07-2020, 11:27 AM
?Expected to upset?, in the title turns into ?decent chance?, in the post...no thanks

Professor MJ
01-07-2020, 11:34 AM
That's some deep shit! Fuck it. I'm convinced. The bet is on. If I lose I recommend a temporary ban on professor mj.

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LOL, I know you were just kidding, but I just want to remind everyone they should avoid drawing conclusions based on small sample sizes. Whether the play wins or not tonight is not a big deal in the whole picture.

Ozzy
01-07-2020, 11:36 AM
Welcome aboard man!!!

...but just try to always keep these two words handy when contemplating a bet on the Rangers:

BRADY SKJEI....

He's like "Mush" from the Bronx Tale!! ;)

....we really need a defensive coach for this kid!

Professor MJ
01-07-2020, 11:36 AM
So you're not dissuaded at all by the fact the Rangers are starting a goalie for his first NHL game?

No, not at all. That information is already incorporated in the money line you are getting. Everyone has that information.

This morning at 7 am Eastern Time the odds were +140 in American format (i.e. 2.40 in decimal format) when I placed my bet. It has gone down since then, so you may not get as good a line right now though.

Professor MJ
01-07-2020, 11:37 AM
Welcome to the group!

Thanks buddy, I appreciate!

RangersIn7
01-07-2020, 12:17 PM
Welcome aboard man!!!

...but just try to always keep these two words handy when contemplating a bet on the Rangers:

BRADY SKJEI....

He's like "Mush" from the Bronx Tale!! ;)

....we really need a defensive coach for this kid!

Cmon Kryptonite!

Hang in there!

Morphinity
01-07-2020, 12:17 PM
Yeah, I'm seeing +120-ish at the books I use. I was seeing +135 last night. It seems people are riding Shesterkin's past exploits high and maybe are scared off by Colorado being shut out last night.

Still thinking about it, but not as convinced as I was last night.

Phil in Absentia
01-07-2020, 12:32 PM
Welcome, Professor. We've actaully gone ahead and created a Sports Book subforum to house betting-related posts like this going forward. I've moved your thread there to kick us off.

Blue Heaven
01-07-2020, 11:11 PM
Should have listened to the Professor and bet the house.

rmc51
01-07-2020, 11:19 PM
I put 25K on the game tonight thanks Prof!

Patrick Bateman
01-07-2020, 11:25 PM
KING ��

Professor MJ
01-08-2020, 08:59 AM
I put 25K on the game tonight thanks Prof!

You are very welcome my friend!! Nice upset win by the Rangers!

Slobberknocker
01-08-2020, 10:55 AM
nice call. keep it up.

so ur 1-0?

CCCP
01-08-2020, 01:42 PM
bet you wont get the next one right, professor

Worle Ranger
01-08-2020, 02:05 PM
Any tips for tonight?s slate?


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Professor MJ
01-09-2020, 12:36 PM
nice call. keep it up.

so ur 1-0?

Through January 6th games, my NHL system plays have yielded a profit of 17.83 units via 323 bets this season (ROI = +5.5%).

All documented on my website, and daily YouTube videos.

In case you're wondering what "units" mean, I pretend to bet 1 unit on each play. If your average bet is $100, you would have earned $100 * 17.83 units = $1,783 from tailing all of those picks.

Notice that my judgment and opinion have no implication whatsoever. I simply follow the strict criteria for betting of my 10 betting systems (that are based on a statistical study using 9 full seasons).

Professor MJ
01-09-2020, 12:41 PM
Any tips for tonight?s slate?


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Yesterday the system picks were all 3 underdogs: the Jets, Flyers and Kings (again, posted a video presenting them yesterday, sorry I didn't see your post, I didn't know people here would be interested).

2-1 record for a 1.82 unit profit (+1.67 on the Jets, +1.15 on the Flyers and -1 on the Kings). :thumbs:

Today's picks (Thursday January 9th) based on my 10 NHL betting systems:


4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
2 STARS = Panthers (@ -143 or 1.70 odds, vs Canucks)
2 STARS = Devils (@ +150 or 2.50 odds, at Rangers)
1 STAR = Ducks (@ +122 or 2.22 odds, vs Stars)



"The Scoring Drought" betting system is backing two teams today: the Kings and the Devils. Here are the details of this strategy:

"Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."

This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%).

For example, the Devils lost their past two games by 4-3 and 5-2 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight. Sorry Rangers fans! ;)

Cheers! :cheers:

Professor MJ

Blue Heaven
01-09-2020, 03:39 PM
Through January 6th games, my NHL system plays have yielded a profit of 17.83 units via 323 bets this season (ROI = +5.5%).

All documented on my website, and daily YouTube videos.

In case you're wondering what "units" mean, I pretend to bet 1 unit on each play. If your average bet is $100, you would have earned $100 * 17.83 units = $1,783 from tailing all of those picks.

Notice that my judgment and opinion have no implication whatsoever. I simply follow the strict criteria for betting of my 10 betting systems (that are based on a statistical study using 9 full seasons).

Rear Admiral is that you?!?!

Morphinity
01-09-2020, 04:01 PM
Rear Admiral is that you?!?!Ahr A's gamblin' cawnah

Professor MJ
01-09-2020, 04:35 PM
Any tips for tonight?s slate?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Today's picks (Thursday January 9th) based on my 10 NHL betting systems:


4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
2 STARS = Panthers (@ -143 or 1.70 odds, vs Canucks)
2 STARS = Devils (@ +150 or 2.50 odds, at Rangers)
1 STAR = Ducks (@ +122 or 2.22 odds, vs Stars)



"The Scoring Drought" betting system is backing two teams today: the Kings and the Devils. Here are the details of this strategy:

"Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."

This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%). :happy:

For example, the L.A. Kings lost their past two games by 2-1 and 4-2 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight.

Cheers!

Professor MJ

Phil in Absentia
01-09-2020, 09:16 PM
Post new threads, Professor. :thumbs:

Professor MJ
01-09-2020, 09:52 PM
Post new threads, Professor. :thumbs:

Sorry about that, will do. A daily thread would be fine, right?

Phil in Absentia
01-09-2020, 10:05 PM
Absolutely.

Blue Heaven
01-09-2020, 10:33 PM
Ahr A's gamblin' cawnah

Gottah take the puckline if Cahtah Haht is in goal

Morphinity
01-09-2020, 10:34 PM
Today's picks (Thursday January 9th) based on my 10 NHL betting systems:


4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
2 STARS = Panthers (@ -143 or 1.70 odds, vs Canucks)
2 STARS = Devils (@ +150 or 2.50 odds, at Rangers)
1 STAR = Ducks (@ +122 or 2.22 odds, vs Stars)



"The Scoring Drought" betting system is backing two teams today: the Kings and the Devils. Here are the details of this strategy:

"Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."

This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%). :happy:

For example, the L.A. Kings lost their past two games by 2-1 and 4-2 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight.

Cheers!

Professor MJ

Panthers looking good. Took the Kings tonight. Super long shot, but we'll see. Battle of the back ups.

Worle Ranger
01-10-2020, 04:16 AM
Today's picks (Thursday January 9th) based on my 10 NHL betting systems:


4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
2 STARS = Panthers (@ -143 or 1.70 odds, vs Canucks)
2 STARS = Devils (@ +150 or 2.50 odds, at Rangers)
1 STAR = Ducks (@ +122 or 2.22 odds, vs Stars)



"The Scoring Drought" betting system is backing two teams today: the Kings and the Devils. Here are the details of this strategy:

"Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."

This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%). :happy:

For example, the L.A. Kings lost their past two games by 2-1 and 4-2 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight.

Cheers!

Professor MJ


Nice work on the Kings. Picked them up at 3.00



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Professor MJ
01-10-2020, 08:29 AM
Nice work on the Kings. Picked them up at 3.00



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Very nice hit on the Kings!!

Overall, a profit of 1.15 unit last night:

Panthers = +0.70
Devils = -1
Ducks = -1
Kings = +2.45

Worle Ranger
01-10-2020, 05:48 PM
Very nice hit on the Kings!!

Overall, a profit of 1.15 unit last night:

Panthers = +0.70
Devils = -1
Ducks = -1
Kings = +2.45


Anything in the system for tonight, Prof?


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