Page 2 of 6 FirstFirst 1234 ... LastLast
Results 21 to 40 of 109

Thread: The Weather Thread

  1. #21
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    Definitely concerning seeing the models build the ridge of high pressure stronger over the North Atlantic next week. That would impact Flo by sending her west toward the East Coast instead of hooking her up and off the coast with a miss next week.

    Long way off but a legit threat anywhere from Florida to New England at this point.

  2. #22
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    How are you posting pics? Photo share from my iphone is not allowed still on this site.


    Sent from my iPhone using Blueshirts Brotherhood mobile app powered by Tapatalk

  3. #23
    Coaching Fail Pee-Wee Division GordonGecko's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    854
    Rep Power
    18
    Quote Originally Posted by Parsley View Post
    How are you posting pics? Photo share from my iphone is not allowed still on this site.
    that's weird - well if clicking the icon doesn't work you can just paste the link and wrap it in IMG tags: [ IMG ]link[/ IMG ] (without the whitespaces)

  4. #24
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    Quote Originally Posted by GordonGecko View Post
    that's weird - well if clicking the icon doesn't work you can just paste the link and wrap it in IMG tags: [ IMG ]link[/ IMG ] (without the whitespaces)
    Gotcha. Thanks. I like the ease of doing a screenshot and then uploading it here with a push of a button. Iíll ask Phil about it.


    Sent from my iPhone using Blueshirts Brotherhood mobile app powered by Tapatalk

  5. #25
    Coaching Fail Pee-Wee Division GordonGecko's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    854
    Rep Power
    18

  6. #26
    Very Large Member BSBH Prospect
    Vodka Drunkenski's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    14,909
    Rep Power
    141
    Iím going to Disney on Saturday, this shit better not fuck that up
    Hidden Content

    Let's Go Rangers!

  7. #27
    HNIC BSBH Legend
    Pete's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    76,409
    Rep Power
    514
    Quote Originally Posted by GordonGecko View Post
    So what are we looking at?

  8. #28
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    North Carolina and South Carolina are in the cross-hairs at this point. One other potential scenario is Florence making landfall and stalling shortly thereafter or it stalling just off the coast and absolutely dumping rain wherever it stalls which would be devastating.

    A further north track (into North Carolina or a brush of it over the Outer Banks) could set the stage for major flooding further north...toward our area if it then decided to slowly chug north or northeast thereafter.

    Lots of BAD scenarios and we appear to be losing the good scenario of this storm missing everyone. In other words, it's becoming more likely someone is going to take it on the chin.

    The map below shows the last few runs of the Euro models projections. Darkest bold cone is the most recent run, thinnest cone is from a few days ago. You see as the event draws nearer the cone is slowly shrinking in size (and taking aim on the Southeast Coast) at this point....

    Last edited by Parsley; 09-09-2018 at 11:19 AM.

  9. #29
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    In comparison, the American long range models are focusing on a landfall a bit further north...

  10. #30
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    Long story short for our area, if a further north landfall takes place and/or it stalls near or off the coast of North Carolina or perhaps Virginia it would set up a long period of easterly winds that would result in extreme beach erosion, potential tidal flooding and a threat for days of rain even as far north as us. A further south track into a place like South Carolina could result in it getting trapped over the Southeast U.S. as high pressure builds down over our area. That would be a better result for us and horrible for them down south.

  11. #31
    Very Large Member BSBH Prospect
    Vodka Drunkenski's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    14,909
    Rep Power
    141
    Can I still go to Disney??
    Hidden Content

    Let's Go Rangers!

  12. #32
    HNIC BSBH Legend
    Pete's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    76,409
    Rep Power
    514
    The weather this summer has been absolutely trash.

  13. #33
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    Quote Originally Posted by Vodka Drunkenski View Post
    Can I still go to Disney??
    Next Saturday? Depends on the track. Florida not as big a threat as the Carolinas as of now.


    Sent from my iPhone using Blueshirts Brotherhood mobile app powered by Tapatalk

  14. #34
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    Quote Originally Posted by Pete View Post
    The weather this summer has been absolutely trash.
    Worst summer since Iíve moved down to PA in 2005.


    Sent from my iPhone using Blueshirts Brotherhood mobile app powered by Tapatalk

  15. #35
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    As of Monday morning, still looks like North Carolina is the primary target with South Carolina a close second. Lots of uncertainty still with regards to forward speed at landfall and whether it potentially slows or stalls near or after landfall.



    Sent from my iPhone using Blueshirts Brotherhood mobile app powered by Tapatalk
    Last edited by Parsley; 09-10-2018 at 10:51 AM.

  16. #36
    Senior Member Bantam Division
    Flynn's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    Down South
    Posts
    1,630
    Rep Power
    29
    This storm is going to be bad- not at all looking forward to the projected stall out with potential "feet" of rain.

  17. #37
    Very Large Member BSBH Prospect
    Vodka Drunkenski's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    14,909
    Rep Power
    141
    Whatís the timeframe of this storm? Beginning/ending guesstimate?
    Hidden Content

    Let's Go Rangers!

  18. #38
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    Quote Originally Posted by Vodka Drunkenski View Post
    Whatís the timeframe of this storm? Beginning/ending guesstimate?
    For where?

    Impact for NC could start Thursday and continue all weekend. Depends on whether it stalls near or after landfall.

    For us further north any residual rain would be a concern late weekend or early next week based on current projections.

    The big story is as it nears the coast of NC it may try to stall offshore or just inland in NC as strong upper level high pressure to its north and northeast tries to trap it over NC.


    Sent from my iPhone using Blueshirts Brotherhood mobile app powered by Tapatalk

  19. #39
    Formerly Dru23 BSBH Prospect
    NYR2711's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    West Babylon
    Posts
    13,588
    Rep Power
    85
    I can’t believe that it went from a 1 this morning to a 4 in only a couple of hours, this thing has the potential to be very bad. They are saying it could hit land as a Cat 5

  20. #40
    ImagineAcceptingTheTruth BSBH Prospect
    Parsley's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Philadelphia suburbs
    Posts
    10,751
    Rep Power
    102
    Quote Originally Posted by NYR2711 View Post
    I canít believe that it went from a 1 this morning to a 4 in only a couple of hours, this thing has the potential to be very bad. They are saying it could hit land as a Cat 5
    The ocean waters are ridiculously warm and all it takes is 6-12 hours with proper conditions overhead for it to bomb.

    Intensity forecasting is way more fickle than landfall forecasting, although both arenít easy.


    Sent from my iPhone using Blueshirts Brotherhood mobile app powered by Tapatalk

Page 2 of 6 FirstFirst 1234 ... LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •